2024 baseball
2024 Bowman Chrome Pack Odds
Bowman 100-card set 2 pack formats
Pack Formats
| Format | Cards/Pack | Packs/Box | Boxes/Case | MSRP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 5 | — | 12 | $269.99 |
| HTA | — | — | — | — |
Insertion Ratios
common
scarce
rare
extreme
| Card group | Cards | #/to | Hobby | HTA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set | ||||
| Base Set | 100 | — | · | — |
| Parallels | ||||
| Refractor | 100 | /499 |
1:35
|
— |
| Fuchsia Refractor | 100 | /299 |
1:59
|
— |
| Aqua RayWave Refractor | 100 | /199 |
1:88
|
— |
| Blue Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:117
|
— |
| Wave Refractor | 100 | /100 |
1:175
|
— |
| Green Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:177
|
— |
| Yellow Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:233
|
— |
| Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:350
|
— |
| Orange Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:699
|
— |
| Pearl Refractor | 100 | — |
1:1440
|
— |
| Red Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:3484
|
— |
| SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:17,562
|
— |
| Prospects | 100 | — |
one-per-pack
|
— |
| Prospects Shimmer Refractor | 100 | — |
1:22
|
— |
| Prospects Refractor | 100 | /499 |
1:35
|
— |
| Prospects Speckle Refractor | 100 | /299 |
1:59
|
— |
| Prospects Purple Refractor | 100 | /250 |
1:70
|
— |
| Prospects Purple Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /250 |
1:70
|
— |
| Prospects Fuchsia Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /199 |
1:88
|
— |
| Prospects Blue Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:117
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Blue Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:117
|
— |
| Prospects Aqua Refractor | 100 | /125 |
1:140
|
— |
| Prospects Green Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:177
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Green Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:177
|
— |
| Prospects Green Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:177
|
— |
| Prospects Yellow Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:233
|
— |
| Prospects Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:350
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:350
|
— |
| Prospects Gold Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:350
|
— |
| Prospects Pearl Refractor | 100 | — |
1:480
|
— |
| Prospects Orange Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:699
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Orange Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:699
|
— |
| Prospects Orange Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:699
|
— |
| Prospects Black Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:1746
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Black Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:1746
|
— |
| Prospects Red Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:3484
|
— |
| Prospects Reptilian Red Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:3484
|
— |
| Prospects Red Shimmer Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:3497
|
— |
| Prospects SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:17,562
|
— |
| 2023 AFL MVP | 1 | /250 |
1:6980
|
— |
| 2023 AFL MVP SuperFractor | 1 | 1/1 |
1:1,668,384
|
— |
| Variations & Short Prints | ||||
| Gimmicks | 12 | — |
1:292
|
— |
| Etched in Glass Gimmicks | 20 | — |
1:721
|
— |
| Rookie Color Run Gimmicks | 10 | — |
1:7254
|
— |
| Inserts | ||||
| International Impact | 25 | — |
1:3
|
— |
| International Impact Mini-Diamond Refractor | 25 | /150 |
1:466
|
— |
| International Impact Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:2790
|
— |
| International Impact SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:69,516
|
— |
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars | 15 | — |
1:6
|
— |
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars Mini-Diamond Refractor | 15 | /150 |
1:776
|
— |
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars Orange Refractor | 15 | /25 |
1:4635
|
— |
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars SuperFractor | 15 | 1/1 |
1:111,224
|
— |
| It Came To The League | 20 | — |
1:12
|
— |
| It Came To The League Mini-Diamond Refractor | 20 | /150 |
1:582
|
— |
| It Came To The League Orange Refractor | 20 | /25 |
1:3497
|
— |
| It Came To The League SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:87,809
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman | 40 | — |
1:12
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman Mini-Diamond Refractor | 40 | /150 |
1:292
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman Gold Refractor | 40 | /50 |
1:874
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman Orange Refractor | 40 | /25 |
1:1746
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman Red Refractor | 40 | /5 |
1:8734
|
— |
| My 1st Bowman SuperFractor | 40 | 1/1 |
1:42,779
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary | 25 | — |
1:24
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary International Refractor | 25 | /99 |
1:699
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary Gold Refractor | 25 | /50 |
1:1398
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:2790
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:14,020
|
— |
| 1999 Bowman 25th Anniversary SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:69,516
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond | 25 | — |
1:144
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Mini-Diamond Refractor | 25 | /150 |
1:466
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Gold Refractor | 25 | /50 |
1:1395
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:2790
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:14,020
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:69,516
|
— |
| Ascensions | 25 | — |
1:288
|
— |
| Ascensions Gold Refractor | 25 | /50 |
1:1395
|
— |
| Ascensions Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:2789
|
— |
| Ascensions Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:14,021
|
— |
| Ascensions SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:69,516
|
— |
| Spotlights | 15 | — |
1:721
|
— |
| Spotlights Red Refractor | 15 | /5 |
1:22,855
|
— |
| Spotlights SuperFractor | 15 | 1/1 |
1:111,224
|
— |
| Retrofractor | 2 | /250 |
1:3498
|
— |
| Retrofractor Gold Refractor | 2 | /50 |
1:17,562
|
— |
| Retrofractor Orange Refractor | 2 | /25 |
1:34,758
|
— |
| Retrofractor Red Refractor | 2 | /5 |
1:166,839
|
— |
| Retrofractor SuperFractor | 2 | 1/1 |
1:834,192
|
— |
| Relics & Memorabilia | ||||
| Autograph Relics | 31 | — |
1:873
|
1:55
|
| Autograph Relics Gold Refractor | 31 | /50 |
1:2043
|
1:129
|
| Autograph Relics Orange Refractor | 31 | /25 |
1:1962
|
— |
| Autograph Relics SuperFractor | 31 | 1/1 |
1:92,687
|
1:5501
|
| Autographs | ||||
| Rookie Autographs | 24 | — |
1:1505
|
1:95
|
| Rookie Autographs Refractor | 24 | — |
1:1411
|
1:89
|
| Rookie Autographs Blue Refractor | 24 | /150 |
1:1608
|
1:102
|
| Rookie Autographs Green Refractor | 24 | /99 |
1:1909
|
1:120
|
| Rookie Autographs Gold Refractor | 24 | /50 |
1:2583
|
1:162
|
| Rookie Autographs Orange Refractor | 24 | /25 |
1:2809
|
— |
| Rookie Autographs Red Refractor | 24 | /5 |
1:25,668
|
1:1601
|
| Rookie Autographs SuperFractor | 24 | 1/1 |
1:128,338
|
1:8002
|
| Prospect Autographs | 141 | — |
1:15
|
one-per-pack
|
| Prospect Autographs Refractor | 141 | /499 |
1:49
|
1:4
|
| Prospect Autographs Speckle Refractor | 141 | /299 |
1:77
|
1:5
|
| Prospect Autographs Purple Refractor | 141 | /250 |
1:94
|
1:6
|
| Prospect Autographs Blue Refractor | 141 | /150 |
1:154
|
1:10
|
| Prospect Autographs Blue RayWave Refractor | 141 | /150 |
1:245
|
1:16
|
| Prospect Autographs Reptilian Blue Refractor | 141 | /150 |
1:138
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs HTA Choice Refractor | 141 | /150 | — |
1:5
|
| Prospect Autographs Mini-Diamond Refractor | 141 | /100 |
1:230
|
1:15
|
| Prospect Autographs Green Refractor | 141 | /99 |
1:235
|
1:15
|
| Prospect Autographs Reptilian Green Refractor | 141 | /99 |
1:208
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs Green Lava Refractor | 141 | /99 | — |
1:7
|
| Prospect Autographs Yellow Refractor | 141 | /75 |
1:308
|
1:20
|
| Prospect Autographs Gold Refractor | 141 | /50 |
1:477
|
1:30
|
| Prospect Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 141 | /50 |
1:399
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs Gold Shimmer Refractor | 141 | /50 | — |
1:22
|
| Prospect Autographs Orange Refractor | 141 | /25 |
1:491
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs Orange Shimmer Refractor | 141 | /25 |
1:498
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs Orange Lava Refractor | 141 | /25 | — |
1:27
|
| Prospect Autographs Black Refractor | 141 | /10 |
1:3643
|
1:230
|
| Prospect Autographs Red Refractor | 141 | /5 |
1:4648
|
1:293
|
| Prospect Autographs Red Shimmer Refractor | 141 | /5 |
1:7254
|
1:454
|
| Prospect Autographs Reptilian Red Refractor | 141 | /5 |
1:4030
|
— |
| Prospect Autographs Red Wave Refractor | 141 | /5 | — |
1:157
|
| Prospect Autographs SuperFractor | 141 | 1/1 |
1:22,546
|
1:1420
|
| Ascensions Autographs | 19 | /150 |
1:1234
|
1:78
|
| Ascensions Autographs SuperFractor | 19 | 1/1 |
1:166,839
|
1:17,604
|
| International Impact Autographs | 19 | — |
1:2131
|
1:110
|
| International Impact Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 19 | /50 |
1:4224
|
1:213
|
| International Impact Autographs Orange Refractor | 19 | /25 |
1:6647
|
1:418
|
| International Impact Autographs SuperFractor | 19 | 1/1 |
1:166,839
|
1:9780
|
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Autographs | 20 | /99 |
1:1682
|
1:106
|
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 20 | /50 |
1:3331
|
1:210
|
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Autographs Orange Refractor | 20 | /25 |
1:3440
|
— |
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Autographs Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:31,479
|
1:2001
|
| Gladiators Of The Diamond Autographs SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:151,672
|
1:9780
|
| My 1st Bowman Autographs | 19 | /99 |
1:1751
|
1:110
|
| My 1st Bowman Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 19 | /50 |
1:3385
|
1:213
|
| My 1st Bowman Autographs Orange Refractor | 19 | /25 |
1:6647
|
1:418
|
| My 1st Bowman Autographs SuperFractor | 19 | 1/1 |
1:166,839
|
1:9780
|
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars Autographs | 11 | — |
1:2261
|
1:143
|
| 2023 AFL Fall Stars Autographs SuperFractor | 11 | 1/1 |
1:278,064
|
1:17,604
|
| 2023 AFL MVP Autograph | 1 | /99 |
1:31,479
|
1:2001
|
| Prime Chrome Signatures | 20 | /50 |
1:3202
|
1:201
|
| Prime Chrome Signatures Orange Refractor | 20 | /25 | — |
1:184
|
| Prime Chrome Signatures SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:151,672
|
1:9780
|
| Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph | 1 | /50 |
1:61,792
|
1:4001
|
| Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph Orange Refractor | 1 | /25 |
1:128,336
|
1:8002
|
| Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph Red Refractor | 1 | /5 |
1:556,120
|
1:44,006
|
| Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph SuperFractor | 1 | 1/1 |
1:1,668,384
|
— |
| Gimmick Autographs | 8 | /25 |
1:15,890
|
1:989
|
| Gimmick Autographs SuperFractor | 8 | 1/1 |
1:417,097
|
1:20,005
|
| All-American Game Autographs | 5 | /199 |
1:3178
|
1:200
|
| My 1st Bowman Buyback Autographs | — | — |
1:87,810
|
1:29,340
|
"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box
Chase Cards
2023 AFL MVP SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:1,668,384 packs
Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:1,668,384 packs
Retrofractor SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:834,192 packs
Sandy Koufax Retrofractor Autograph Red Refractor
/5 · ~1:556,120 packs
Gimmick Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:417,097 packs
2023 AFL Fall Stars Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:278,064 packs
Retrofractor Red Refractor
/5 · ~1:166,839 packs
Ascensions Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:166,839 packs
Sources & methodology.
Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from
BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.