What are the pack odds for 2024 Bowman Draft?

Odds vary by pack format. This product ships in 4 formats (Hobby, Jumbo, Super Jumbo, Breaker's Delight), each with different insertion ratios.

What is the rarest pull in 2024 Bowman Draft?

Super Refractors at roughly 1:992,832 packs.

2024 baseball

2024 Bowman Draft Pack Odds

Bowman 200-card set 4 pack formats

Pack Formats

Format	Cards/Pack	Packs/Box	Boxes/Case	MSRP
Hobby	—	—	—	—
Jumbo	32	12	8	—
Super Jumbo	120	5	6	—
HTA Choice	—	—	6	—
Breaker's Delight	—	—	—	—

Insertion Ratios

common scarce rare extreme

Card group	Cards	#/to	Hobby	Jumbo	Super Jumbo	Breaker's Delight
Base Set
Base	200	—	·	·	·	—
Parallels
Sky Blue ~648 est. print run	200	/499	1:8	1:15 ~56%/box	1:4 ~76%/box	—
Blue	200	/150	1:114	1:48 ~22%/box	1:13 ~33%/box	—
Green	200	/99	1:720	1:72 ~15%/box	1:19 ~24%/box	—
Gold	200	/50	1:1,425	1:143 ~8%/box	1:37 ~13%/box	—
Orange	200	/25	1:1,644	1:208 ~6%/box	—	—
Red	200	/5	1:18,732	1:1427 ~1 in 119 boxes	1:369 ~1%/box	—
Black	200	1/1	1:15,275	1:7194 ~1 in 600 boxes	1:1828 ~1 in 366 boxes	—
Printing Plates	200	/four for each	1:4,172	1:1780 ~1 in 149 boxes	1:462 ~1%/box	—
Chrome	200	—	·	one-per-pack	one-per-pack	—
Chrome Refractor ~200 est. print run	200	—	1:713	one-per-pack	one-per-pack	—
Chrome Sky Blue Refractor	200	—	·	1:8 ~80%/box	—	—
Chrome Lunar Glow Refractor	200	—	1:12	1:12 ~65%/box	1:5 ~67%/box	—
Chrome Purple Refractor	200	/250	1:285	1:29 ~34%/box	1:8 ~49%/box	—
Chrome Sparkles Refractor	200	/199	·	1:36 ~29%/box	1:10 ~41%/box	—
Chrome Fuchsia Lunar Refractor	200	/199	1:36	1:36 ~29%/box	1:10 ~41%/box	—
Chrome Blue Refractor	200	/150	·	1:48 ~22%/box	1:13 ~33%/box	—
Chrome Aqua Wave Refractor	200	/125	·	1:57 ~19%/box	1:15 ~29%/box	—
Chrome Aqua Lunar Crater Refractor	200	/125	·	1:57 ~19%/box	1:15 ~29%/box	—
Chrome Green Refractor	200	/99	·	1:72 ~15%/box	1:19 ~24%/box	—
Chrome Green Grass Refractor	200	/99	·	1:72 ~15%/box	1:19 ~24%/box	—
Chrome Steel Metal Refractor	200	/99	·	1:72 ~15%/box	1:19 ~24%/box	—
Chrome Yellow Refractor	200	/75	·	1:95 ~12%/box	1:25 ~18%/box	—
Chrome Yellow Lunar Crater Refractor	200	/75	·	1:95 ~12%/box	1:25 ~18%/box	—
Chrome Gold Refractor	200	/50	·	1:143 ~8%/box	1:37 ~13%/box	—
Chrome Orange Refractor	200	/25	·	1:206 ~6%/box	—	—
Chrome Black Refractor	200	/10	·	1:520 ~2%/box	—	—
Chrome Rose Gold Refractor	200	/10	·	1:520 ~2%/box	—	—
Chrome Rose Gold Lava Refractor	200	/10	1:520	1:520 ~2%/box	1:47,515 ~1 in 9503 boxes	—
Chrome Red Refractor	200	/5	·	1:1427 ~1 in 119 boxes	1:369 ~1%/box	—
Chrome Red Lava Refractor	200	/5	·	1:1427 ~1 in 119 boxes	1:369 ~1%/box	—
Chrome SuperFractor	200	1/1	·	1:7194 ~1 in 600 boxes	1:1828 ~1 in 366 boxes	—
Chrome Printing Plates	200	/four for each	·	1:1780 ~1 in 149 boxes	1:462 ~1%/box	—
Prospector's Special Die-Cut	15	/49	·	1:1397 ~1 in 117 boxes	—	—
Etched-In Glass	20	—	·	1:1441 ~1 in 121 boxes	—	—
(Jumbo) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:141,823	1:31,677 ~1 in 2640 boxes	·	·
Image Variation	—	—	1:407	·	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:496,416	1:95,040 ~1 in 7920 boxes	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:110,315	1:23,760 ~1 in 1980 boxes	·	·
(Hobby) Sparkle Refractor	—	—	1:242	1:55 ~20%/box	·	·
Orange Wave Refractor	—	/25	1:1,698	1:382 ~3%/box	·	·
(Breakers Delight) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:16,548	1:3,802 ~1 in 317 boxes	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:66,189	1:13,578 ~1 in 1132 boxes	·	·
Image Variations Autograph	—	—	1:3,332	1:749 ~2%/box	·	·
Super Refractors ~100 est. print run	—	1/1	1:992,832	1:749 ~2%/box	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:198,567	1:47,520 ~1 in 3960 boxes	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:330,944	1:95,040 ~1 in 7920 boxes	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:141,834	1:31,681 ~1 in 2641 boxes	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:141,823	1:31,677 ~1 in 2640 boxes	·	·
Mini Diamond Refractor	—	—	1:380	·	·	·
(Jumbo) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:55,154	1:15,839 ~1 in 1320 boxes	·	·
(Jumbo) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:90,251	1:23,758 ~1 in 1980 boxes	·	·
(Hobby) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:49,642	·	·	·
Refractors	—	1/1	1:70,912	1:19,006 ~1 in 1584 boxes	·	·
Variations & Short Prints
Gimmicks	10	—	·	1:407 ~3%/box	1:106 ~5%/box	—
College Variations	10	/199	·	1:713 ~2%/box	1:185 ~3%/box	—
College Variations Gold Refractor	10	/50	·	1:2853 ~1 in 238 boxes	1:737 ~1 in 148 boxes	—
College Variations Orange Refractor	10	/25	·	1:4172 ~1 in 348 boxes	—	—
College Variations Red Refractor	10	/5	·	1:29,199 ~1 in 2434 boxes	1:7310 ~1 in 1462 boxes	—
College Variations SuperFractor	10	1/1	·	1:141,823 ~1 in 11819 boxes	1:31,677 ~1 in 6336 boxes	—
Inserts
In Tune	20	—	·	1:3 ~99%/box	one-per-pack	—
In Tune Refractor ~22,375 est. print run	20	/250	1:3	1:285 ~4%/box	1:74 ~7%/box	—
In Tune Green Refractor	20	/99	·	1:720 ~2%/box	1:186 ~3%/box	—
In Tune Gold Refractor	20	/50	·	1:1425 ~1 in 119 boxes	1:369 ~1%/box	—
In Tune Red Refractor	20	/5	·	1:14,388 ~1 in 1199 boxes	1:3655 ~1 in 731 boxes	—
In Tune SuperFractor	20	1/1	·	1:70,912 ~1 in 5910 boxes	1:19,006 ~1 in 3802 boxes	—
Plasma Power	20	—	·	1:3 ~99%/box	one-per-pack	—
Plasma Power Refractor ~22,375 est. print run	20	/250	1:3	1:285 ~4%/box	1:74 ~7%/box	—
Plasma Power Green Refractor	20	/99	·	1:720 ~2%/box	1:186 ~3%/box	—
Plasma Power Gold Refractor	20	/50	·	1:1425 ~1 in 119 boxes	1:369 ~1%/box	—
Plasma Power Red Refractor	20	/5	·	1:14,388 ~1 in 1199 boxes	1:3655 ~1 in 731 boxes	—
Plasma Power SuperFractor	20	1/1	·	1:70,912 ~1 in 5910 boxes	1:19,006 ~1 in 3802 boxes	—
Draft Night	10	—	·	1:6 ~89%/box	1:2 ~97%/box	—
Draft Night Refractor	10	/250	1:6	1:570 ~2%/box	1:148 ~3%/box	—
Draft Night Green Refractor	10	/99	·	1:1439 ~1 in 120 boxes	1:373 ~1%/box	—
Draft Night Gold Refractor	10	/50	·	1:2853 ~1 in 238 boxes	1:737 ~1 in 148 boxes	—
Draft Night Red Refractor	10	/5	·	1:29,199 ~1 in 2434 boxes	1:7310 ~1 in 1462 boxes	—
Draft Night SuperFractor	10	1/1	·	1:141,823 ~1 in 11819 boxes	1:31,677 ~1 in 6336 boxes	—
In Action	25	—	1:12	1:12 ~65%/box	1:3 ~87%/box	—
In Action Mini-Diamond Refractor	25	/150	·	1:380 ~3%/box	1:99 ~5%/box	—
In Action Green Refractor	25	/99	·	1:576 ~2%/box	1:149 ~3%/box	—
In Action Gold Refractor	25	/50	·	1:1140 ~1%/box	1:296 ~2%/box	—
In Action Orange Refractor	25	/25	·	1:1644 ~1 in 137 boxes	—	—
In Action Red Refractor	25	/5	·	1:11,412 ~1 in 951 boxes	1:2970 ~1 in 594 boxes	—
In Action SuperFractor	25	1/1	·	1:55,154 ~1 in 4597 boxes	1:15,839 ~1 in 3168 boxes	—
Final Draft	20	—	·	1:768 ~2%/box	—	—
Final Draft Red Refractor	20	/5	·	1:9929 ~1 in 828 boxes	—	—
Final Draft SuperFractor	20	1/1	·	1:49,642 ~1 in 4137 boxes	—	—
Spotlights	15	—	·	1:1441 ~1 in 121 boxes	—	—
Spotlights Red Refractor	15	/5	·	1:18,732 ~1 in 1561 boxes	1:5002 ~1 in 1001 boxes	—
Spotlights SuperFractor	15	1/1	·	1:90,251 ~1 in 7521 boxes	1:23,758 ~1 in 4752 boxes	—
Retrofractors	2	—	·	·	·	·
Retrofractors Gold Refractor	2	/50	·	·	·	·
Retrofractors Orange Refractor	2	/25	·	·	·	·
Retrofractors Red Refractor	2	/5	·	·	·	·
Retrofractors SuperFractor	2	1/1	·	·	·	·
John Elway	1	—	·	·	·	·
John Elway Refractor	1	—	·	·	·	·
John Elway Refractor	1	—	·	·	·	·
John Elway Aqua Lava Refractor	1	/199	·	·	·	·
John Elway Blue Refractor	1	/150	·	·	·	·
John Elway Green Refractor	1	/99	·	·	·	·
John Elway Yellow Refractor	1	/75	·	·	·	·
John Elway Gold Refractor	1	/50	·	·	·	·
John Elway Orange Refractor	1	/25	·	·	·	·
John Elway Red Refractor	1	/5	·	·	·	·
John Elway SuperFractor	1	1/1	·	·	·	·
Autographs
Chrome Prospect Autograph	99	—	·	1:8 ~80%/box	1:2 ~97%/box	one-per-pack
Chrome Prospect Autograph Refractor	99	/499	1:8	1:35 ~29%/box	1:8 ~49%/box	1:6
Chrome Prospect Autograph Purple Refractor	99	/250	1:69	1:69 ~16%/box	1:16 ~28%/box	1:12
Chrome Prospect Autograph Aqua Lava Refractor	99	/199	1:87	1:87 ~13%/box	1:20 ~23%/box	1:15
Chrome Prospect Autograph Blue Refractor	99	/150	·	1:114 ~10%/box	1:26 ~18%/box	1:20
Chrome Prospect Autograph Blue Wave Refractor	99	/150	·	1:114 ~10%/box	1:26 ~18%/box	1:20
Chrome Prospect Autograph HTA Choice Refractor	99	/150	1:35	1:8 ~80%/box	—	1:3
Chrome Prospect Autograph Green Refractor	99	/99	·	1:172 ~7%/box	1:39 ~12%/box	1:30
Chrome Prospect Autograph Green Lava Refractor	99	/99	·	—	—	1:4
Chrome Prospect Autograph Yellow Refractor	99	/75	·	1:138 ~8%/box	—	—
Chrome Prospect Autograph Sparkles Refractor	99	/71	·	1:242 ~5%/box	1:55 ~9%/box	1:42
Chrome Prospect Autograph Gold Refractor	99	/50	·	1:343 ~3%/box	1:77 ~6%/box	1:59
Chrome Prospect Autograph Gold Wave Refractor	99	/50	·	1:343 ~3%/box	1:78 ~6%/box	1:59
Chrome Prospect Autograph Gold Shimmer Refractor	99	/50	·	—	—	1:8
Chrome Prospect Autograph Orange Refractor	99	/25	·	1:421 ~3%/box	—	—
Chrome Prospect Autograph Orange Wave Refractor	99	/25	·	—	—	1:15
Chrome Prospect Autograph Black Refractor	99	/10	·	1:1698 ~1 in 142 boxes	1:382 ~1%/box	1:289
Chrome Prospect Autograph Black X-Fractor	99	/10	·	1:1683 ~1 in 141 boxes	1:378 ~1%/box	1:286
Chrome Prospect Autograph Red Lava Refractor	99	/5	·	1:3355 ~1 in 280 boxes	1:755 ~1 in 151 boxes	1:572
Chrome Prospect Autograph Red Refractor	99	/5	·	1:3412 ~1 in 285 boxes	1:767 ~1 in 154 boxes	1:582
Chrome Prospect Autograph Red X-Fractor	99	/5	·	—	—	1:74
Chrome Prospect Autograph SuperFractor	99	1/1	·	1:16,548 ~1 in 1379 boxes	1:3802 ~1 in 761 boxes	1:2772
Chrome Prospect Autograph Printing Plates	99	/four for each	·	1:4172 ~1 in 348 boxes	1:941 ~1 in 189 boxes	1:707
Gimmick Autographs	5	/99	·	1:3332 ~1 in 278 boxes	1:749 ~1 in 150 boxes	1:572
In Action Autographs	15	/99	·	1:1114 ~1%/box	1:251 ~2%/box	1:190
In Action Autographs Lava Refractor	15	/75	1:1,469	1:1469 ~1 in 123 boxes	1:331 ~2%/box	1:252
In Action Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor	15	/50	·	1:2207 ~1 in 184 boxes	1:496 ~1%/box	1:376
In Action Autographs Orange Refractor	15	/25	·	1:2691 ~1 in 225 boxes	—	—
In Action Autographs Red Refractor	15	/5	·	1:22,063 ~1 in 1839 boxes	1:5003 ~1 in 1001 boxes	1:3603
In Action Autographs SuperFractor	15	1/1	·	1:110,315 ~1 in 9193 boxes	1:23,760 ~1 in 4752 boxes	1:18,012
Class Of 2024 Autographs	25	/250	1:207	1:207 ~6%/box	1:81 ~6%/box	1:228
Class Of 2024 Autographs Green Refractor	25	/99	·	1:667 ~2%/box	1:150 ~3%/box	1:114
Class Of 2024 Autographs Gold Refractor	25	/50	·	1:1323 ~1 in 111 boxes	1:297 ~2%/box	1:225
Class Of 2024 Autographs Red Refractor	25	/5	·	1:13,064 ~1 in 1089 boxes	1:2970 ~1 in 594 boxes	1:2252
Class Of 2024 Autographs SuperFractor	25	1/1	·	1:66,189 ~1 in 5516 boxes	1:13,578 ~1 in 2716 boxes	1:12,008
Plasma Power Autographs	8	/99	·	1:2086 ~1 in 174 boxes	1:469 ~1%/box	1:357
Plasma Power Autographs Red Refractor	8	/5	·	1:41,368 ~1 in 3448 boxes	1:9504 ~1 in 1901 boxes	1:7205
Plasma Power Autographs SuperFractor	8	1/1	·	1:198,567 ~1 in 16548 boxes	1:47,520 ~1 in 9504 boxes	1:36,024
Draft Night Autographs	4	/99	·	1:4172 ~1 in 348 boxes	1:941 ~1 in 189 boxes	1:707
Draft Night Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor	4	/50	1:8,274	1:8274 ~1 in 690 boxes	1:1864 ~1 in 373 boxes	1:1441
Draft Night Autographs Orange Refractor	4	/25	·	1:10,029 ~1 in 836 boxes	—	—
Draft Night Autographs Red Refractor	4	/5	·	1:82,736 ~1 in 6895 boxes	1:19,008 ~1 in 3802 boxes	1:12,008
Draft Night Autographs SuperFractor	4	1/1	·	1:496,416 ~1 in 41368 boxes	1:95,040 ~1 in 19008 boxes	1:36,024
Draft Prospect Portrait Autographs	12	—	1:13,601	1:13,601 ~1 in 1134 boxes	1:3066 ~1 in 614 boxes	1:2402
John Elway Autograph	1	/50	·	·	·	·
John Elway Autograph Orange Refractor	1	/25	·	·	·	·
John Elway Autograph Red Refractor	1	/5	·	·	·	·
John Elway Autograph SuperFractor	1	1/1	·	·	·	·
Prospect Dual Autographs	11	/99	·	1:1669 ~1 in 140 boxes	1:375 ~1%/box	1:284
Prospect Dual Autographs Gold Refractor	11	/50	·	1:3065 ~1 in 256 boxes	1:689 ~1 in 138 boxes	1:523
Prospect Dual Autographs Orange Refractor	11	/25	·	1:3678 ~1 in 307 boxes	—	—
Prospect Dual Autographs Black Refractor	11	/10	·	1:15,275 ~1 in 1273 boxes	1:3395 ~1 in 679 boxes	1:2574
Prospect Dual Autographs Red Refractor	11	/5	·	1:30,086 ~1 in 2508 boxes	1:6789 ~1 in 1358 boxes	1:5147
Prospect Dual Autographs SuperFractor	11	1/1	·	1:141,834 ~1 in 11820 boxes	1:31,681 ~1 in 6337 boxes	1:36,024
Positioned For Excellence Autograph Booklet	5	/10	1:33,094	1:33,094 ~1 in 2758 boxes	1:7311 ~1 in 1463 boxes	1:6004
Positioned For Excellence Autograph Booklet Red Refractor	5	/5	·	1:66,189 ~1 in 5516 boxes	1:13,578 ~1 in 2716 boxes	1:12,008
Positioned For Excellence Autograph Booklet SuperFractor	5	1/1	·	1:330,944 ~1 in 27579 boxes	1:95,040 ~1 in 19008 boxes	1:36,024
Picked For Excellence Autograph Booklet	1	/5	1:330,944	1:330,944 ~1 in 27579 boxes	1:95,040 ~1 in 19008 boxes	1:35,024
Picked For Excellence Autograph Booklet SuperFractor	1	1/1	·	1:992,832 ~1 in 82736 boxes	—	—
Under Armour Game Autographed Cards	5	/199	·	1:1661 ~1 in 139 boxes	1:373 ~1%/box	1:282
Under Armour Game Autographed Cards Red Ink Autograph	5	—	1:1,661	1:43,167 ~1 in 3598 boxes	1:9504 ~1 in 1901 boxes	1:7205
Other
Refractors	—	—	1:1	·	·	·
Purple Refractor	—	/250	1:29	·	·	·
(Jumbo) Sparkles Refractor	—	—	1:36	·	·	·
Yellow Refractor	—	/75	1:95	·	·	·
(Jumbo) Yellow Lunar Crater r	—	/75	1:95	·	·	·
Printing Plates 1/1 (4 Versions)	—	1/1	1:1,780	·	·	·
(Jumbo) Superfractor	—	1/1	1:7,194	1:1,828 ~1 in 153 boxes	·	·

"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box

Chase Cards

Super Refractors 1/1 · ~1:992,832 packs

Picked For Excellence Autograph Booklet SuperFractor 1/1 · ~1:992,832 packs

Refractors 1/1 · ~1:496,416 packs

Draft Night Autographs SuperFractor 1/1 · ~1:496,416 packs

Refractors 1/1 · ~1:330,944 packs

Positioned For Excellence Autograph Booklet SuperFractor 1/1 · ~1:330,944 packs

Picked For Excellence Autograph Booklet /5 · ~1:330,944 packs

Refractors 1/1 · ~1:198,567 packs

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Sources & methodology. Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.