2024 baseball
2024 Bowman Sterling Pack Odds
Bowman 50-card set 1 pack formats
Pack Formats
| Format | Cards/Pack | Packs/Box | Boxes/Case | MSRP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 6 | 5 | — | — |
Insertion Ratios
common
scarce
rare
extreme
| Card group | Cards | #/to | Hobby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set | |||
| Base Set | 50 | — | · |
| Parallels | |||
| Prospects | 50 | — | · |
| Refractor | 100 | /199 |
1:8
~49%/box
|
|
Mini-Diamond Refractor ~55 est. print run
|
100 | /150 |
1:10
~41%/box
|
|
Silver Refractor ~75 est. print run
|
100 | /100 |
1:15
~29%/box
|
|
Speckle Refractor ~70 est. print run
|
100 | /99 |
1:15
~29%/box
|
|
Magenta Refractor ~60 est. print run
|
100 | /75 |
1:20
~23%/box
|
| Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:30
~16%/box
|
| Blue Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:59
~8%/box
|
| Blue Scintillate Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:59
~8%/box
|
| Copper Refractor | 100 | /15 |
1:98
~5%/box
|
| Black Lava Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:147
~3%/box
|
| Red Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:294
~2%/box
|
| Red Scintillate Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:294
~2%/box
|
| SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:1449
~1 in 290 boxes
|
| Printing Plates | 100 | /four for each |
1:367
~1%/box
|
| Tek Gold | 25 | /50 |
1:118
~4%/box
|
| Tek Blue | 25 | /25 |
1:236
~2%/box
|
| Tek Rose Gold | 25 | /15 |
1:393
~1%/box
|
| Tek Aqua | 25 | /10 |
1:591
~1 in 119 boxes
|
| Tek Red | 25 | /5 |
1:1182
~1 in 237 boxes
|
| Tek Black | 25 | 1/1 |
1:5858
~1 in 1172 boxes
|
| Inserts | |||
| Tek | 25 | /99 |
1:60
~8%/box
|
| Superstars | 25 | /5 |
1:61
~8%/box
|
| Autographs | |||
| Rookie Autographs | 18 | — |
1:87
~6%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Refractor | 18 | /150 |
1:142
~3%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Wave Refractor | 18 | /125 |
1:146
~3%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Silver Refractor | 18 | /100 |
1:113
~4%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Speckle Refractor | 18 | /99 |
1:122
~4%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Orange Refractor | 18 | /75 |
1:130
~4%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Gold Refractor | 18 | /50 |
1:172
~3%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Blue Refractor | 18 | /25 |
1:340
~1%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Rose Gold Refractor | 18 | /15 |
1:245
~2%/box
|
| Rookie Autographs Black Lava Refractor | 18 | /10 |
1:777
~1 in 156 boxes
|
| Rookie Autographs Red Refractor | 18 | /5 |
1:1598
~1 in 320 boxes
|
| Rookie Autographs SuperFractor | 18 | 1/1 |
1:8270
~1 in 1654 boxes
|
| Prospect Autographs | 57 | — |
1:2
~97%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Refractor | 57 | /150 |
1:18
~25%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Wave Refractor | 57 | /125 |
1:22
~21%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Purple Refractor | 57 | /120 |
1:23
~20%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Silver Refractor | 57 | /100 |
1:27
~17%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Speckle Refractor | 57 | /99 |
1:27
~17%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Orange Refractor | 57 | /75 |
1:35
~13%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Gold Refractor | 57 | /50 |
1:51
~9%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Blue Refractor | 57 | /25 |
1:102
~5%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Blue Scintillate Refractor | 57 | /25 |
1:104
~5%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Rose Gold Refractor | 57 | /15 |
1:173
~3%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Black Lava Refractor | 57 | /10 |
1:254
~2%/box
|
| Prospect Autographs Red Scintillate Refractor | 57 | /5 |
1:515
~1 in 103 boxes
|
| Prospect Autographs Red Refractor | 57 | /5 |
1:539
~1 in 108 boxes
|
| Prospect Autographs SuperFractor | 57 | 1/1 |
1:2510
~1 in 502 boxes
|
| Extravaganza Autographs | 26 | /varies |
1:89
~5%/box
|
| Extravaganza Autographs Blue Scintillate Refractor | 26 | /25 |
1:305
~2%/box
|
| Extravaganza Autographs Rose Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 26 | /15 |
1:443
~1%/box
|
| Extravaganza Autographs Black Mini-Diamond Refractor | 26 | /10 |
1:570
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Extravaganza Autographs Red Refractor | 26 | /5 |
1:1134
~1 in 227 boxes
|
| Extravaganza Autographs Canary Diamond Refractor | 26 | /3 |
1:1850
~1 in 370 boxes
|
| Extravaganza Autographs SuperFractor | 26 | 1/1 |
1:6113
~1 in 1223 boxes
|
| Tek Autographs | 19 | /varies |
1:190
~3%/box
|
| Tek Autographs Blue | 19 | /25 |
1:322
~2%/box
|
| Tek Autographs Rose Gold | 19 | /15 |
1:537
~1 in 108 boxes
|
| Tek Autographs Aqua | 19 | /10 |
1:764
~1 in 153 boxes
|
| Tek Autographs Red | 19 | /5 |
1:1512
~1 in 303 boxes
|
| Tek Autographs Black | 19 | 1/1 |
1:7810
~1 in 1562 boxes
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs | 13 | /25 |
1:445
~1%/box
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs Rose Gold Mini-Diamond | 13 | /15 |
1:756
~1 in 152 boxes
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs Black Mini-Diamond | 13 | /10 |
1:1598
~1 in 320 boxes
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs Red | 13 | /5 |
1:3186
~1 in 638 boxes
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs Canary Diamond | 13 | /3 |
1:5407
~1 in 1082 boxes
|
| Dual Refractor Autographs SuperFractor | 13 | 1/1 |
1:15,620
~1 in 3124 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs | 9 | /25 |
1:645
~1 in 129 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs Rose Gold Mini-Diamond | 9 | /15 |
1:1090
~1 in 218 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs Black Mini-Diamond | 9 | /10 |
1:1597
~1 in 320 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs Red | 9 | /5 |
1:3195
~1 in 639 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs Canary Diamond | 9 | /3 |
1:5406
~1 in 1082 boxes
|
| Triple Refractor Autographs SuperFractor | 9 | 1/1 |
1:15,620
~1 in 3124 boxes
|
"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box
Chase Cards
Dual Refractor Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:15,620 packs
Triple Refractor Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:15,620 packs
Rookie Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:8,270 packs
Tek Autographs Black
1/1 · ~1:7,810 packs
Extravaganza Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:6,113 packs
Tek Black
1/1 · ~1:5,858 packs
Prospect Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:2,510 packs
SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:1,449 packs
Sources & methodology.
Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from
BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.