2024 baseball
2024 Finest Pack Odds
Topps 300-card set 1 pack formats
Pack Formats
| Format | Cards/Pack | Packs/Box | Boxes/Case | MSRP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 10 | 6 | — | — |
Insertion Ratios
common
scarce
rare
extreme
| Card group | Cards | #/to | Hobby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set | |||
| Base Set | 300 | — |
8:1
|
| Parallels | |||
| Common | 100 | — |
7:1
|
| Common Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | — |
1:2
~98%/box
|
| Common Refractor | 100 | — |
1:5
~74%/box
|
| Common Sky Blue Refractor | 100 | /325 |
1:11
~44%/box
|
| Common Purple Refractor | 100 | /250 |
1:14
~36%/box
|
| Common Blue Refractor | 100 | /200 |
1:18
~29%/box
|
| Common Purple Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:23
~23%/box
|
| Common Blue Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:35
~16%/box
|
| Common Green Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:46
~12%/box
|
| Common Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:69
~8%/box
|
| Common Oil Spill Refractor | 100 | — |
1:132
~4%/box
|
| Common Orange Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:137
~4%/box
|
| Common Black Refractor | 100 | /20 |
1:171
~3%/box
|
| Common Red Lava Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:341
~2%/box
|
| Common SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Uncommon | 100 | — |
one-per-pack
|
| Uncommon Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | — |
1:4
~82%/box
|
| Uncommon Refractor | 100 | — |
1:12
~41%/box
|
| Uncommon Sky Blue Refractor | 100 | /250 |
1:14
~36%/box
|
| Uncommon Purple Refractor | 100 | /200 |
1:18
~29%/box
|
| Uncommon Blue Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:23
~23%/box
|
| Uncommon Purple Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:35
~16%/box
|
| Uncommon Blue Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:46
~12%/box
|
| Uncommon Green Refractor | 100 | /35 |
1:98
~6%/box
|
| Uncommon Gold Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:137
~4%/box
|
| Uncommon Orange Refractor | 100 | /20 |
1:171
~3%/box
|
| Uncommon Black Refractor | 100 | /15 |
1:227
~3%/box
|
| Uncommon Oil Spill Refractor | 100 | — |
1:317
~2%/box
|
| Uncommon Red Lava Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:680
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Uncommon SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Rare | 100 | — |
1:3
~91%/box
|
| Rare Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | — |
1:12
~41%/box
|
| Rare Sky Blue Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:23
~23%/box
|
| Rare Purple Refractor | 100 | /125 |
1:28
~20%/box
|
| Rare Blue Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:35
~16%/box
|
| Rare Purple Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:46
~12%/box
|
| Rare Refractor | 100 | — |
1:49
~12%/box
|
| Rare Blue Checkerboard Refractor | 100 | /49 |
1:70
~8%/box
|
| Rare Green Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:137
~4%/box
|
| Rare Gold Refractor | 100 | /20 |
1:171
~3%/box
|
| Rare Orange Refractor | 100 | /15 |
1:227
~3%/box
|
| Rare Black Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:341
~2%/box
|
| Rare Oil Spill Refractor | 100 | — |
1:790
~1 in 132 boxes
|
| Rare Red Lava Refractor | 100 | /3 |
1:1130
~1 in 189 boxes
|
| Rare SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype | 25 | — |
1:3
~91%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Refractor | 25 | — |
1:24
~23%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Purple Refractor | 25 | /125 |
1:109
~5%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Blue Refractor | 25 | /99 |
1:138
~4%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Green Refractor | 25 | /75 |
1:182
~3%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Gold Refractor | 25 | /50 |
1:273
~2%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:545
~1%/box
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Black Refractor | 25 | /10 |
1:1356
~1 in 226 boxes
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:2689
~1 in 449 boxes
|
| What If… 1993 Prototype SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:13,013
~1 in 2169 boxes
|
| Timeline | 10 | — |
1:8
~55%/box
|
| Timeline Refractor | 10 | — |
1:60
~10%/box
|
| Timeline Purple Refractor | 10 | /125 |
1:273
~2%/box
|
| Timeline Blue Refractor | 10 | /99 |
1:344
~2%/box
|
| Timeline Green Refractor | 10 | /75 |
1:454
~1%/box
|
| Timeline Gold Refractor | 10 | /50 |
1:680
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Timeline Orange Refractor | 10 | /25 |
1:1356
~1 in 226 boxes
|
| Timeline Black Refractor | 10 | /10 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Timeline Red Refractor | 10 | /5 |
1:6640
~1 in 1107 boxes
|
| Timeline SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 |
1:32,532
~1 in 5422 boxes
|
| Diamond Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:2689
~1 in 449 boxes
|
| Diamond SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:13,013
~1 in 2169 boxes
|
| Inserts | |||
| Arrivals | 25 | — |
1:3
~91%/box
|
| Arrivals Refractor | 25 | — |
1:24
~23%/box
|
| Arrivals Purple Refractor | 25 | /125 |
1:109
~5%/box
|
| Arrivals Blue Refractor | 25 | /99 |
1:138
~4%/box
|
| Arrivals Green Refractor | 25 | /75 |
1:182
~3%/box
|
| Arrivals Gold Refractor | 25 | /50 |
1:273
~2%/box
|
| Arrivals Orange Refractor | 25 | /25 |
1:545
~1%/box
|
| Arrivals Black Refractor | 25 | /10 |
1:1356
~1 in 226 boxes
|
| Arrivals Red Refractor | 25 | /5 |
1:2689
~1 in 449 boxes
|
| Arrivals SuperFractor | 25 | 1/1 |
1:13,013
~1 in 2169 boxes
|
| Rookies | 20 | — |
1:4
~82%/box
|
| Rookies Refractor | 20 | — |
1:30
~18%/box
|
| Rookies Purple Refractor | 20 | /125 |
1:137
~4%/box
|
| Rookies Blue Refractor | 20 | /99 |
1:172
~3%/box
|
| Rookies Green Refractor | 20 | /75 |
1:227
~3%/box
|
| Rookies Gold Refractor | 20 | /50 |
1:341
~2%/box
|
| Rookies Orange Refractor | 20 | /25 |
1:680
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Rookies Black Refractor | 20 | /10 |
1:1695
~1 in 283 boxes
|
| Rookies Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Rookies SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:16,266
~1 in 2711 boxes
|
| Future So Bright | 20 | — |
1:4
~82%/box
|
| Future So Bright Refractor | 20 | — |
1:30
~18%/box
|
| Future So Bright Purple Refractor | 20 | /125 |
1:137
~4%/box
|
| Future So Bright Blue Refractor | 20 | /99 |
1:172
~3%/box
|
| Future So Bright Green Refractor | 20 | /75 |
1:227
~3%/box
|
| Future So Bright Gold Refractor | 20 | /50 |
1:341
~2%/box
|
| Future So Bright Orange Refractor | 20 | /25 |
1:680
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Black Refractor | 20 | /10 |
1:1695
~1 in 283 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Future So Bright SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:16,266
~1 in 2711 boxes
|
| Firsts Die-Cuts | 10 | — |
1:96
~6%/box
|
| Firsts Die-Cuts Red Refractor | 10 | /5 |
1:6640
~1 in 1107 boxes
|
| Firsts Die-Cuts SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 |
1:32,532
~1 in 5422 boxes
|
| Diamond Finest | 25 | — |
1:193
~3%/box
|
| Fiesta | 20 | — |
1:288
~2%/box
|
| Fiesta Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:3354
~1 in 559 boxes
|
| Fiesta SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:16,266
~1 in 2711 boxes
|
| Let's Go! | 10 | /50 |
1:680
~1 in 114 boxes
|
| Let's Go! Red Refractor | 10 | /5 |
1:6640
~1 in 1107 boxes
|
| Let's Go! SuperFractor | 10 | 1/1 |
1:32,532
~1 in 5422 boxes
|
| Autographs | |||
| Autographs | 138 | — |
1:11
~44%/box
|
| Autographs Refractor | 138 | — |
1:26
~21%/box
|
| Autographs Sky Blue Refractor | 138 | /150 |
1:28
~20%/box
|
| Autographs Purple Refractor | 138 | /125 |
1:33
~17%/box
|
| Autographs Blue Refractor | 138 | /99 |
1:37
~15%/box
|
| Autographs Green Refractor | 138 | /75 |
1:48
~12%/box
|
| Autographs Gold Refractor | 138 | /50 |
1:69
~8%/box
|
| Autographs Orange Refractor | 138 | /25 |
1:135
~4%/box
|
| Autographs Black Refractor | 138 | /10 |
1:337
~2%/box
|
| Autographs Red Lava Refractor | 138 | /5 |
1:670
~1 in 112 boxes
|
| Autographs SuperFractor | 138 | 1/1 |
1:3336
~1 in 556 boxes
|
| Moments Autographs | 34 | — |
1:67
~9%/box
|
| Moments Autographs Gold Refractor | 34 | /50 |
1:318
~2%/box
|
| Moments Autographs Orange Refractor | 34 | /25 |
1:475
~1%/box
|
| Moments Autographs Black Refractor | 34 | /10 |
1:1183
~1 in 198 boxes
|
| Moments Autographs Red Lava Refractor | 34 | /5 |
1:2214
~1 in 369 boxes
|
| Moments Autographs SuperFractor | 34 | 1/1 |
1:10,844
~1 in 1808 boxes
|
| Rookies Autographs | 13 | — |
1:212
~3%/box
|
| Rookies Autographs Refractor | 13 | — |
1:223
~3%/box
|
| Rookies Autographs Blue Refractor | 13 | /99 |
1:225
~3%/box
|
| Rookies Autographs Green Refractor | 13 | /75 |
1:297
~2%/box
|
| Rookies Autographs Gold Refractor | 13 | /50 |
1:417
~1%/box
|
| Rookies Autographs Orange Refractor | 13 | /25 |
1:833
~1 in 139 boxes
|
| Rookies Autographs Black Refractor | 13 | /10 |
1:2073
~1 in 346 boxes
|
| Rookies Autographs Red Lava Refractor | 13 | /5 |
1:4118
~1 in 687 boxes
|
| Rookies Autographs SuperFractor | 13 | 1/1 |
1:20,333
~1 in 3389 boxes
|
| What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs | 16 | — |
1:237
~3%/box
|
| What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs Orange Refractor | 16 | /25 |
1:833
~1 in 139 boxes
|
| What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs Black Refractor | 16 | /10 |
1:2073
~1 in 346 boxes
|
| What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs Red Refractor | 16 | /5 |
1:4118
~1 in 687 boxes
|
| What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs SuperFractor | 16 | 1/1 |
1:20,333
~1 in 3389 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Autographs | 15 | /50 |
1:475
~1%/box
|
| Future So Bright Autographs Orange Refractor | 15 | /25 |
1:949
~1 in 159 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Autographs Black Refractor | 15 | /10 |
1:2358
~1 in 393 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Autographs Red Refractor | 15 | /5 |
1:4715
~1 in 786 boxes
|
| Future So Bright Autographs SuperFractor | 15 | 1/1 |
1:23,237
~1 in 3873 boxes
|
| Firsts Die-Cut Autograph | 8 | — |
1:3320
~1 in 554 boxes
|
| Originals Autographs | — | — |
1:1660
~1 in 277 boxes
|
| Mystery Autograph Redemption Card | 1 | — |
1:3286
~1 in 548 boxes
|
"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box
Chase Cards
Timeline SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:32,532 packs
Firsts Die-Cuts SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:32,532 packs
Let's Go! SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:32,532 packs
Future So Bright Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:23,237 packs
Rookies Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:20,333 packs
What If … 1993 Protoypes Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:20,333 packs
Rookies SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:16,266 packs
Future So Bright SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:16,266 packs
Sources & methodology.
Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from
BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.