2024 baseball
2024 Topps Chrome Black Pack Odds
Topps 100-card set 1 pack formats
Pack Formats
| Format | Cards/Pack | Packs/Box | Boxes/Case | MSRP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | 4 | 1 | — | — |
Insertion Ratios
common
scarce
rare
extreme
| Card group | Cards | #/to | Hobby |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set | |||
|
Base ~320 est. print run
|
100 | — |
two per box
|
| Parallels | |||
| Refractor | 100 | /199 |
1:5 REF
~20%/box
|
| Purple Mini-Diamond Refractor | 100 | /150 |
1:6 REF
~17%/box
|
| Green Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:9 REF
~11%/box
|
| Green Wave Refractor | 100 | /99 |
1:9 REF
~11%/box
|
| Blue Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:11 REF
~9%/box
|
| Blue Wave Refractor | 100 | /75 |
1:11 REF
~9%/box
|
| Gold Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:17 REF
~6%/box
|
| Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 100 | /50 |
1:17 REF
~6%/box
|
| Orange Refractor | 100 | /25 |
1:34 REF
~3%/box
|
| Rose Gold Wave Refractor | 100 | /15 |
1:54 REF
~2%/box
|
| Magenta Refractor | 100 | /10 |
1:81 REF
~1%/box
|
| Red Refractor | 100 | /5 |
1:161 REF
~1 in 161 boxes
|
| SuperFractor | 100 | 1/1 |
1:795 REF
~1 in 795 boxes
|
| Variations & Short Prints | |||
| Rookie Design Variations | 20 | — |
1:13
~8%/box
|
| Rookie Design Variations Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:795
~1 in 795 boxes
|
| Rookie Design Variations SuperFractor | 20 | /one-per-pack |
1:3854
~1 in 3854 boxes
|
| Inserts | |||
|
Depth of Darkness ~60 est. print run
|
20 | — |
1:61
~2%/box
|
| Depth of Darkness Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:795
~1 in 795 boxes
|
| Depth of Darkness SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:3854
~1 in 3854 boxes
|
| Autographs | |||
| Autographs | 112 | — |
1:2 AU
~50%/box
|
| Autographs Refractor | 112 | /150 |
1:8 AU
~13%/box
|
| Autographs Green Refractor | 112 | /99 |
1:10 AU
~10%/box
|
| Autographs Gold Refractor | 112 | /50 |
1:17 AU
~6%/box
|
| Autographs Gold Mini-Diamond Refractor | 112 | /50 |
1:19 AU
~5%/box
|
| Autographs Orange Refractor | 112 | /25 |
1:29 AU
~3%/box
|
| Autographs Red Refractor | 112 | /5 |
1:143 AU
~1 in 143 boxes
|
| Autographs SuperFractor | 112 | 1/1 |
1:701 AU
~1 in 701 boxes
|
| Super Futures Autographs | 20 | /99 |
1:41 AU
~2%/box
|
| Super Futures Autographs Gold Refractor | 20 | /50 |
1:80 AU
~1%/box
|
| Super Futures Autographs Red Refractor | 20 | /5 |
1:820 AU
~1 in 820 boxes
|
| Super Futures Autographs SuperFractor | 20 | 1/1 |
1:4057 AU
~1 in 4057 boxes
|
| Ivory Autographs | 17 | /50 |
1:107 AU
~1 in 107 boxes
|
| Ivory Autographs Gold Trim | 17 | /25 |
1:210 AU
~1 in 210 boxes
|
| Ivory Autographs Red Trim | 17 | /5 |
1:1307 AU
~1 in 1307 boxes
|
| Ivory Autographs SuperFractor | 17 | 1/1 |
1:4817 AU
~1 in 4817 boxes
|
| Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs | 6 | /varies |
1:607 AU
~1 in 607 boxes
|
| Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs Gold Trim Refractor | 6 | /20 |
1:1101 AU
~1 in 1101 boxes
|
| Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs Red Trim Refractor | 6 | /5 |
1:2753 AU
~1 in 2753 boxes
|
| Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs SuperFractor | 6 | 1/1 |
1:12,845 AU
~1 in 12845 boxes
|
"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box
Chase Cards
Pitch Black Pairings Dual Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:12,845 packs
Ivory Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:4,817 packs
Super Futures Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:4,057 packs
Depth of Darkness SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:3,854 packs
SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:795 packs
Autographs SuperFractor
1/1 · ~1:701 packs
Sources & methodology.
Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from
BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.