2024 baseball
2024 Topps Holiday Pack Odds
Topps 200-card set 3 pack formats
Pack Formats
| Format | Cards/Pack | Packs/Box | Boxes/Case | MSRP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobby | — | — | — | — |
| Mega Box | 10 | 10 | — | — |
| Tin | — | — | — | — |
Insertion Ratios
common
scarce
rare
extreme
| Card group | Cards | #/to | Hobby | Mega Box | Tin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Set | |||||
|
Base ~10,440 est. print run
|
200 | — |
1:2
|
· | · |
| Parallels | |||||
| Silver Glitter | 200 | — | · |
1:2
|
— |
|
Blue Metallic Glitter ~2,090 est. print run
|
200 | — |
1:10
|
1:10
~65%/box
|
— |
| Purple Glitter | 200 | /99 |
1:210
|
1:210
~5%/box
|
— |
| Red Metallic | 200 | /10 | · |
1:2075
~1 in 208 boxes
|
— |
| Green Glitter | 200 | /5 | · |
1:4150
~1 in 415 boxes
|
— |
| Golden Glitter | 200 | 1/1 | · |
1:21,208
~1 in 2121 boxes
|
— |
|
Holiday Tree ~6,840 est. print run
|
200 | — | · | — |
one-per-pack
|
|
Blue Metallic Holiday Tree ~2,280 est. print run
|
200 | — | · | — |
one-per-pack
|
| Purple Metallic Holiday Tree | 200 | /99 | · | — |
1:24
|
| Red Metallic Holiday Tree | 200 | /10 | · | · |
1:232
|
| Green Metallic Holiday Tree | 200 | /5 | · | — |
1:462
|
| Golden Metallic Holiday Tree | 200 | 1/1 | · | — |
1:2280
|
| Hidden Elf | 25 | — | · |
1:200
~5%/box
|
1:19
|
| Glitter Holiday | — | — |
1:4,306
|
· | · |
| Golden Glitter Holiday | — | 1/1 |
1:95,432
|
· | · |
| Glitter Holiday | — | /25 |
1:4,306
|
· | · |
| Golden Glitter Holiday | — | 1/1 |
1:95,434
|
· | · |
| Glitter Holiday | — | — |
1:462
|
· | · |
| Golden Glitter Holiday | — | 1/1 |
1:45,808
|
· | · |
| Glitter Holiday | — | — |
1:3,460
|
· | · |
| Golden Glitter Holiday | — | 1/1 |
1:81,799
|
· | · |
| Variations & Short Prints | |||||
| Gimmicks | 50 | — | · |
1:4
~94%/box
|
one-per-pack
|
| Inserts | |||||
| Oversized Die-Cut MLB Ornaments | 20 | — | · |
one-per-box
|
— |
| Stocking Die-Cut Ornaments | 20 | — | · | — |
1:3
|
| Santa Archives | 25 | — | · |
1:200
~5%/box
|
1:19
|
|
Gingerbread Man ~870 est. print run
|
1 | — |
1:4,792
|
1:4792
~1 in 480 boxes
|
— |
|
Snowman ~55 est. print run
|
1 | — |
1:200
|
— |
1:240
|
| Boxtopper Oversized Die Cut MLB Ornament Cards | — | — |
1:13
|
· | · |
|
Gingerbread Man Hidden Elf Cards ~1,795 est. print run
|
— | — |
1:200
|
· | · |
| Relics & Memorabilia | |||||
| Holiday Faux Relics | 5 | — |
1:33,682
|
1:33,682
~1 in 3369 boxes
|
— |
| Holiday Relics | 48 | — |
1:1,154
|
1:1154
~1 in 116 boxes
|
— |
| Holiday Relics Glitter | 48 | /25 | · |
1:3460
~1 in 346 boxes
|
— |
| Holiday Relics Red Glitter | 48 | /10 |
1:4,563
|
1:8676
~1 in 868 boxes
|
— |
| Holiday Relics Golden Glitter | 48 | 1/1 | · |
1:81,799
~1 in 8180 boxes
|
— |
| Relics | 91 | — |
1:2,323
|
1:11
~61%/box
|
— |
| Relics Glitter | 91 | /99 | · |
1:462
~2%/box
|
— |
| Relics Red Glitter | 91 | /10 | · |
1:4563
~1 in 457 boxes
|
— |
| Relics Golden Glitter | 91 | 1/1 | · |
1:45,808
~1 in 4581 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Relics | 36 | /50 | · |
1:2323
~1 in 233 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Relics Glitter | 36 | /25 | · |
1:4306
~1 in 431 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Relics Red Glitter | 36 | /5 | · |
1:20,450
~1 in 2045 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Relics Golden Glitter | 36 | 1/1 | · |
1:95,434
~1 in 9544 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Holiday Relics | 29 | — | · |
1:14,139
~1 in 1414 boxes
|
— |
| Autographed Faux Relics | 5 | — | · |
1:32,720
~1 in 3272 boxes
|
— |
| Autographs | |||||
| Autographs | 41 | — | · |
1:783
~1%/box
|
— |
| Autographs Glitter | 41 | /25 | · |
1:4306
~1 in 431 boxes
|
— |
| Autographs Red Glitter | 41 | /10 | · |
1:10,604
~1 in 1061 boxes
|
— |
| Autographs Green Glitter | 41 | /5 | · |
1:20,450
~1 in 2045 boxes
|
— |
| Autographs Golden Glitter | 41 | 1/1 | · |
1:95,432
~1 in 9544 boxes
|
— |
|
Holiday Faux Relics Autograph ~4,180 est. print run
|
— | — |
1:32,720
|
· | · |
| Other | |||||
| Golden Glitter Holiday | — | 1/1 |
1:21,208
|
· | · |
|
Card ~130 est. print run
|
— | — |
1:4
|
· | · |
"—" = not found in that format · "·" = odds not disclosed · small text = chance of ≥1 pull per box
Chase Cards
Golden Glitter Holiday
1/1 · ~1:95,434 packs
Autographed Relics Golden Glitter
1/1 · ~1:95,434 packs
Golden Glitter Holiday
1/1 · ~1:95,432 packs
Autographs Golden Glitter
1/1 · ~1:95,432 packs
Golden Glitter Holiday
1/1 · ~1:81,799 packs
Holiday Relics Golden Glitter
1/1 · ~1:81,799 packs
Golden Glitter Holiday
1/1 · ~1:45,808 packs
Relics Golden Glitter
1/1 · ~1:45,808 packs
Sources & methodology.
Odds are manufacturer-published insertion ratios compiled from
BaseballCardPedia and Chasing Majors (archived). Odds reflect pack-level probability; per-box figures assume independent pack draws (1 − (1−1/N)^packs). Estimated print runs and pack counts are community estimates. Community-maintained data may differ slightly from wrapper text.